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Deloitte forecasts home insurers will slide back to losses in 2026 after profits in 2025

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UK home insurers are set to make an underwriting profit in 2025, with a net combined ratio of 98%, but will swing back to losses next year with an NCR of 102.1%, according to Deloitte.

The data analysis by the consultants showed average premiums for consumers have remained steady in 2025, falling to an average of £326 for the year, compared to £329 in 2024.

Deloitte forecast that, in 2026, consumers will see a 7% drop in premiums to £306, driven by a further decrease in claims and a competitive UK market.

Last year competitor EY predicted the market would break even in 2025 with an NCR of 100%.

Research released by Consumer Intelligence last month showed the average quoted prices

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Q&A: Grove & Dean’s Michael Lawrence

Michael Lawrence, distribution and underwriting director at personal lines specialist Grove & Dean, spent 34 years at LV general insurance in its various guises before jumping the fence in 2024.

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