Broking Break: The Six Nations - QBE predicts the winner

Rugby player

Actuaries at the insurer have crunched the numbers to try and pick the winner.

A complex mathematical formula created by actuaries at QBE, whose day job is predicting the impact of catastrophes such as earthquakes and floods, has been used to predict the outcome of this year's RBS Six Nations tournament. The computer model simulated the tournament 10,000 times to produce outcomes from 150,000 games.

How it works

The QBE Rugby Predictor is based on how well each team has played in the past against opposition of similar ranking, as well as the success ratio for kickers, the

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