The Bank of England has announced today decisions to keep interest rates on hold at 0.5% and to stop the asset purchase facility at £200bn.
According to the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) the announcements signal a pause in the quantitative easing policy that is likely to last until after the General Election when the path for fiscal policy becomes clearer.
Cebr added that as the recovery is still emerging and the scale of fiscal tightening after the election unclear, the MPC has adopted a ‘wait and see' approach. The economists also argued that in doing so, policymakers have bargained that the rise in inflation is a short term phenomenon and expect inflationary pressures from the sluggish recovery to be weak in the medium term.
Charles Davis, senior economist at Cebr, said: "Our view is broadly in line with the Bank of England. Monetary policy can ignore the short term spike in inflation unless there are signs that the pick up inflation is feeding through to wage and inflation expectations. We expect inflation expectations to remain anchored, although households will have to be prepared for particularly weak real disposable income growth over the next year as earnings growth hovers around record low levels."
He continued: " Moreover, in the uncertain period in the lead up to the election where fiscal policy remains in limbo, a wait and see approach is probably best. Hence, we expect interest rates and quantitative easing to remain on hold until after the election unless the bond market fears on the continent spill over into the UK. If the next government chooses to tighten fiscal policy drastically, quantitative easing could be extended."
Recent comments
Most read
Most commented
Related white papers
Related articles
Interview
Distribution, European influence and a united voice for insurance are just some of the key areas new Biba chairman Andy Homer......
Quote of the week
Polly C
Polly’s attention has been drawn to a tricky situation facing brokers and their insurer accounts.
|
Read the latest edition of Insurance Age as a digital interactive e-book. Dont miss out - register now to receive a FREE digital edition of Insurance Age every month |
Events
Latest white papers
Designed to stimulate new ideas, fresh thinking and innovation in the motor claims market.
The issues driving domicile have become a topic of ongoing interest to the insurance industry. This is why we decided that it was a subject worthy of some closer investigation.
Services section
Register here to apply for your complimentary subscription to Insurance Age, the leading magazine for the broking community.
Broker Expo is the annual event for the UK insurance industry, combining an exhibition showcasing almost 100 key companies with a programme of expert-led workshops to create the perfect business environment. The 2011 event will take place on 3rd November at the Ricoh Arena, Coventry.
Over 1600 users keep abreast of the latest industry news via regular tweets and discussions from the insuranceage.co.uk editorial teams on Twitter and LinkedIn. Follow the main twitter profiles, @insuranceage, @Brokingmartin, @brokingbod and @Brokingcait for opinion, viewpoints, live discussion tweets and links to articles.
We help PII brokers to find out if their clients' quality management systems reduce risk. In our experience many don't, and certification to ISO 9001 is not a reliable indicator. We can help your clients to reduce bureaucracy and make controls more effective.
Contact: Ray Murphy on 0208 673 5740 email: info@enigmaqpm.com web: www.enigmaqpm.com
InsuranceAge.co.uk is the only site dedicated to the UK broking community. To advertise your scheme, service or any upcoming events in this space to over 25,000 users viewing this page every month contact Chris Finnegan on 020 7316 9632.
Keep forgetting we have such low interest rates!
Let's hope inflation stays in control so we can keep the interest rates down, it is key to getting us out of recession (properly) and to return to growth.
Andrew Tjaardstra
04 February 2010
Complain about this comment